Friday, April 2, 2010

Here are a couple of beauties
1) Villain is fish. Once he min check raises, he was getting it allin. Chances are that he has AK/AQ/flush draw a hell lot more than AA/77/A7

2) Villain is solid reg. His 3 betting freq. is about 6.1 over 200 hands. His button 3 betting range shouldn't be too wide. Flop he c bets 100% of his range. Turn he c bets any Q 100% and AA, KK more than 60%. On the river however, he would definitely value bet AA, KK, JJ, 99, 88. He would also bluff AK, AJ, or some random connectors since he expects me to value bet most of my value hands on the river.
By check-raising my 1010, I'm essentially turning it into a bluff, trying to get AA, KK to fold. I would play my AQ this way at least 30% of the time. Most importantly, this guy is definitely good enough to fold AA, KK here at least 50% of the time... Since he knows... I rarely check-raise river /w bluffs, and he doesn't know that I'm capable of turning a made hand into a bluff.

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